Stock Trading Tips and Analysis

Truth Behind India Shining

By stock-trading

So much about India shining!! See the way Rupee is getting battered!! See IIP rates!!! See inflation rates!! See infra! Petrol is all time high!

India is not shining but whining and going to the doldrums. Most of the cos. in India a either fully bogus or totally manipulated in favor of promoter group. Banks and lending instititutions knowingly are colluding with the scamsters hand in glove with perpertrators of these financial crimes to make quick money. Poor rich divide has widened dramatically which is very dangerous for a democratic country.

No. of districts in various states on the worst drought crisis. In Maharashtra they spent around 70000 Crores on harvesting in last 10 yrs, where that all money gone or disappeared? Poor farmers and peasants running away to nearby cities due to drought. No help from Govt. These innocent poor farmers/laborers will ultimately commit suicide or resort to daredevil robberies to sustain themselves and their families. Crime will increase exponentially. Black money hoarding has reached gargantuan proportions. Rich and wealthy getting richer by the day by resorting to all sorts of gimmicks. FIIs have sucked money out of the system!!

This country will go into an anarchy situation as these negatives mount. I foresee large scale civil agitation in this country in another couple of decades rather than any shining India. Freinds do not invest in the markets now. You will lose all your money!

 

Stocks At 52 Weeks Low

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Bharti Airtel Current Market Price: Rs 281.95 The telecom major took a beating due to regulatory authority TRAI’s recommendations on 2G reserve pricing, which set the price at more than two times the 2008 auction price.

Jain Irrigation Current Market Price: Rs 70.60 Brokerage house Religare today cut earnings estimates for the company citing slowing growth in its core vertical segment, i.e. micro irrigation systems (MIS), and possible pressure on funding costs and margins due to high working capital requirements.

Punjab National Bank Current Market Price: Rs 708.45 Punjab National Bank (PNB) reported more than 18% year-on-year jump in its fourth quarter net profit. However, during the quarter, the gross non-performing asset (NPA) ratio climbed to 2.93%. The net NPA ratio too rose from 1.11% to 1.52%.

EIH Current Market Price: Rs 76.50 This hospitality company was hit hard by the global gloom-and-doom environment, which also hurt the tourism industry, along with the rupee’s sharp decline to 56 a dollar.

Educomp Solution Current Market Price: Rs 146.50 A report by brokerage firm Espirito Santo on Friday questioned the company's corporate governance standards, accounting practices and business model, and assigned it a fair value of Rs 110 to the stock.

Bharat Electronics Current Market Price: Rs 1236.85 Bharat Electronics has reported a sales turnover of Rs 2,297.24 crore and a net profit of Rs 333.84 crore for the quarter ended Mar '12.

SKS Microfinance Current Market Price: Rs 71.50 A hostile business environment in its biggest market, Andhra Pradesh, crippled India’s only listed microfinance institution. The company has been plagued ever since former CEO Suresh Gurumani was unceremoniously dismissed.

Reliance Media Current Market Price: Rs 54.90 Reliance MediaWorks sales turnover for Q4 FY12 dropped to Rs 95.93 crore, and net loss came in at Rs 114.23 crore for the quarter ended Mar '12.

Kalpataru Power Current Market Price: Rs 78.50 Kalpataru Power reported a 22% increase in revenue for FY12, however profit after tax fell to Rs 204 crore.

Ramky Infra Current Market Price: Rs 147.10

Adani Ports Current Market Price: Rs 109.75

 

Indian Market Slipping

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The Indian market closed a choppy session of trade on a weak note following negative global cues and a depreciating rupee. Banks, metals and power stocks came in for a bit of selling. Sensex closed at 15928, down 97 points (provisional) and Nifty at 4831, down 28 points (provisional) from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 0.5% and BSE Smallcap index was also down 0.5%. The market breadth was negative with advances at 514 against declines of 892 on the NSE. he Indian market pared losses in afternoon trade but ended lower in a session marked by volatility amidst the rupee touching a record low and global concerns over EU summit. Sensex shut shop at 15948, down 78 points, and Nifty at 4835, down 24 points from the previous close. CNX Midcap index was down 0.5% and BSE Smallcap index was down 0.6%. The market breadth was negative with advances at 481 against declines of 926 on the NSE. Top Nifty gainers were GAIL, Ranbaxy and IDFC while losers included Bharti Airtel, Kotak Mahindra Bank and Sesa Goa.

 


MIC Electronics is another bogus co. floated with much hype and hoopla with the help of media and analysts! I remember the CEO used to frequently visit TV channels with bullish projections and statements to spruce up the share price. Now what is remaining is the real truth of what the co. is worth!! Investors please take extra care when investing in new cos. and in any Indian co.!!!! Promoter's stake has reduced by half since Mar 11. It was Quoting 12.36 in first week of May and today price almost halved !!!! LED products maker MIC Electronics Ltd reported a 77 per cent decline in consolidated net profit to Rs 3.9 crore for the three months ended March 31, 2011, compared with Rs 17.02 crore in the same quarter last year. Sales revenues also slipped 21 per cent to Rs 70.41 crore from Rs 55.43 crore.

 


Around 188 mid-sized companies like 3i Infotech, Vimta Labs default on loans. Slower growth and high interest rates have taken a toll on many mid-sized companies. Close to 188 companies rated by Crisil have either failed to service interest on borrowings or repay the principal amount on time. More than a dozen of these are listed. Among the listed companies that failed to stick to their repayment schedule in 2011-12 are Mawana Sugars, Raj Agro Mills, ARSS Infrastructure, Indosolar Ltd, Simbhaoli Sugar, Shree Ashtavinayak Cinevision, Eastern Silk Industries, 3i Infotech, Vimta Labs, SR Industries, Mangalam Drugs, Surya Pharmaceuticals and CCS Infotech. Most of them have not been able to repay funds in the range of 50 crore to 300 crore, said sources in the financial market. Leading microfinance institutions Spandana Sphoorty and Asmitha Microfin also failed to meet their repayment commitments last year. These companies rated by Crisil, India`s largest credit rating agency, have a combined debt outstanding of 20,000 crore. They did not respond to ET`s email queries. "Over 90% of these borrowers have ratings in `BB` (double `B`) or below categories; most of them have borrowed money from banks," said Pawan Agrawal, director, Crisil Ratings. According to Crisil findings, default rate - the ratio between the number of companies that defaulted to the total number of companies under the agency`s surveillance - has gone up to 3.4% in 2011-12 to 2.9% in 2010-11. Low profitability, declining demand and weak liquidity conditions are triggering defaults, said Agrawal. "Access to funding and higher borrowing costs are turning out to be a challenge for companies. In terms of credit quality outlook, we expect downgrades to continue to outnumber upgrades for some more quarters," he said. Companies with large debt on their books are finding it difficult to honour their financial commitments, merchant bankers said. Those with substantial debt on their balance sheet are hurt by increased interest costs and marked-to-market losses reported on foreign currency debt and derivatives due to rupee depreciation. This has resulted in a significant drop in net margins of most companies since September 2011. "Mid-sized companies with poor ratings are finding it difficult to raise working capital; lenders are not investing in the issuances of small companies fearing defaults. Even higher rates are not bringing them in," said a leading Mumbai-based debt arranger to small- and mid-sized companies. According to equity analysts, sectors such as textiles, real estate, steel, automobile, construction & engineering and infrastructure will continue to face margin pressure in the upcoming quarters. Cash-strapped companies are trying to reschedule or roll over their debt. "Companies on the verge of default are trying to reschedule their payment calendars. Rollovers are happening at rates as high as 18-20%. Most companies are rolling over their debt for three months," the debt arranger said. With the RBI policy meeting round the corner, promoters are hoping for a reduction in rates and easing of liquidity towards mid-May. They also expect a stock market rally, which will help them raise funds by issuing stocks to private equity investors. "Higher default rate is a reflection of lower risk management capabilities of corporate India. Apart from regular factors like profitability and low rates, only good governance and strong risk management skills will prompt companies to meet their financial obligations," said Shailesh Haribhakti, chairman, BDO Consulting.

 


The brokerage houses, lead managers, and the regulators are all hand in glove to push highly overpriced issues (in most the recent IPOs of 2010/11 the real market value of the shares was not more than 10-25% of the IPO price!!!

 

Speciality Restaurants IPO

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There is another IPO opening soon, that of Speciality Restaurants. I think this one should do good like Jubilant Foods and Lovable Lingerie and Talwalkar. Have not studied it but having eatery chains like Main-Land China it should do well, rest God knows!! WHATEVER THE IPO RATING, I WOULD NOT SUGGEST ANY RETAIL INVESTOR TO PUT HIS HARD EARNED MONEY IN THE DAMNED MARKETS!!!!!

 


Very clear because, if the mine acquisition was cancelled, how did they not get the advances etc. back immediately and where is that money!! Can you expect a co. which until last quarter was posting excellent results, incur a loss of 271cr!! This stock was trading at a level of 30 3 years back in May 2009 from there it rose to unbelievable heights of 200-250-290 in the short span of time on the news that it has acquitted uranium mine at Madagascar !!!! I wonder what SEBI is doing, was SEBI not aware about manipulation being happened at Varun Industries. Most of the times I wonder for what purpose SEBI is there, Is it really to protect retailers and poor investors interest and regulate market OR it is their to protect interest of fraudsters and earn big pie of money from them in the form of bribery? Many frauds after frauds are happening at Indian Stock Exchange with very ease. At the moment it is better to stay from Indian Stock Exchange as it is not safe to invest money here as market is not regulated.

 


There has to be a better much better reason to buy a stock like varun rather than oh the stock has fallen from 240 to rs.26 so it should bounce back.The promoters have taken away every reason an investor would have to buy varun.Most likely all their talk about rare earth minerals,gold ,uranium and gas is all gas or even if its true(highly unlikely) they have made it clear they will not share it with the shareholders.As for those who have hopes that their factories must be worth more than their current market capitalisation well i have got news for you out of a turnover of RS.3177 CRORES only rs.346 crores is the turnover of varun from its factories and the remaining RS.2831 crores is from purchase of traded goods which could mean their own turnover could be less than rs.346 crores.From 2007-2012 their purchase of trades goods has increased from 864 crores to rs.2831 crores.So again on a most optimistic basis their turnover has gone up from rs.204 crores to rs.346 crores in 5 years.Whats worse is varun has not reported its consolidated results which last year was rs.600 crores more in turnover as compared to standalone results. So we dont know how much loss they have made on a consolidated basis.So we know the management is fraud,unethical,dishonest,thieves.The books are all cooked so it does not make a strong case for value buying.

 


Varun Industries has touched a 52-week low of Rs 24.50. At 12:13 hrs, the share was quoting at Rs 24.65, down Rs 1.10, or 4.27%. Investors had lost their money heavily at this counter. It was trading around 270 before a month or two. Those who have invested at higher level already have lost almost more than 90% within a span of 60-70 days. This happens only Indian Stock Exchange. At present Indian Stock Exchange is being known as heaven for scam maker and fraudsters. Corruption is at all time high so these fraudsters can manipulate everything from making false announcement at BSE and NSE, inflating their result/ balance sheet. Varun Industries is one of the biggest fraud at Indian Stock Exchange. Imagine suddenly this quarter company posted a loss of 291 Crores. This happens only in India. As usual poor investors and retailers are at receiving end. I wonder, Why is the CLB and Comptroller of Accounts not getting into the investigation act and come out with the clear facts. On what basis did reputed institutions lend money against pledged shares when there was such huge amount of trading amount involved in the financials rather than real production of goods???

 


Petrol price in four metros now Mumbai- 78.16/L (70.66/L) Chennai-77.05/L(69.55/L) New Delhi -73.14/L (65.64/L) Kolkata - 77.53 (70.03) In the world Petrol is cheapest at Venezuala @ 1.17 / Litre. followed by Iran where Petrol rate is 4.17 / Litre. India is the only country where Petrol is expensive. It is mainly due Government duties imposed on Petrol. Now it is high time that Government should cut it duties on Petrol.

 


IOC , BPCL and HPCL hiked petrol price by Rs 6.28 per litre, effective midnight. Including sales tax, the hike adds up to Rs 7.50/litre. The increase was on the cards with the rupee continuing its free fall against the US dollar, but the quantum of the hike took the country by surprise. However, diesel price has been left untouched though under-recoveries have been much sharper in that commodity as well as kerosene and LPG. PK Goyal, director-finance at IOC said since the company needed to bring down excise duties up to the level of under recoveries, a price hike was the only option.